• Initialization shock in the ocean circulation reduces skill in decadal predictions of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre 

      Polkova, Iuliia; Swingedouw, Didier; Hermanson, Leon; Köhl, Armin; Stammer, Detlef; Smith, Doug; Kröger, Jürgen; Bethke, Ingo; Yang, Xiaosong; Zhang, Liping; Nicolì, Dario; Athanasiadis, Panos J.; Karami, Mehdi Pasha; Pankatz, Klaus; Pohlmann, Holger; Wu, Bo; Bilbao, Roberto; Ortega, Pablo; Yang, Shuting; Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel; Merryfield, William; Kataoka, Takahito; Tatebe, Hiroaki; Imada, Yukiko; Ishii, Masayoshi; Matear, Richard J. (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Due to large northward heat transport, the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) strongly affects the climate of various regions. Its internal variability has been shown to be predictable decades ahead within ...
    • Potential Influences of Volcanic Eruptions on Future Global Land Monsoon Precipitation Changes 

      Man, Wenmin; Zuo, Meng; Zhou, Tianjun; Fasullo, John; Bethke, Ingo; Chen, Xiaolong; Zou, Liwei; Wu, Bo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2021)
      The global monsoon system is of exceptional socioeconomic importance owing to its impacts on two-thirds of the globe’s population. Major volcanic eruptions strongly influence global land monsoon (GLM) precipitation change. ...
    • Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions 

      O'Kane, Terence J.; Scaife, Adam A.; Kushnir, Yochanan; Brookshaw, Anca; Buontempo, Carlo; Carlin, David; Connell, Richenda K.; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Dunstone, Nick; Förster, Kristian; Graça, Antonio; Hobday, Alistair J.; Kitsios, Vassili; van der Laan, Larissa; Lockwood, Julia; Merryfield, William J.; Paxian, Andreas; Payne, Mark R.; Reader, M. Catherine; Saville, Geoffrey R.; Smith, Doug; Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan; Caltabiano, Nico; Carman, Jessie; Hawkins, Ed; Keenlyside, Noel Sebastian; Kumar, Arun; Matei, Daniela; Pohlmann, Holger; Power, Scott; Raphael, Marilyn; Sparrow, Michael; Wu, Bo (Journal article; Peer reviewed, 2023)
      Following efforts from leading centres for climate forecasting, sustained routine operational near-term climate predictions (NTCP) are now produced that bridge the gap between seasonal forecasts and climate change projections ...